M7.8 Kaikoura quake – future scenarios and aftershock forecasts

GeoNet advises that more aftershocks over magnitude five are expected. There is also a 95 percent chance that another earthquake measuring between magnitude 6 and 6.9 will hit within the next 30 days, along with:

  • a 30 percent chance of another earthquake between 7.0 to 7.8
  • a 1 percent chance of an earthquake 8.0 or more.

Please encourage whanau and friends in New Zealand to have emergency kits ready, including medications, shoes and change of clothes in an accessible location – as a ‘just in case’.

[Read the GeoNet Forecast].

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